In 1961, Frank Drake encapsulated
his thoughts about the search for
extraterrestrials in what would become
the Drake equation:
where
N is the number of extraterrestrial civilizations
that we could communicate with.
Let's look at the pieces:
Rstar --
the rate of star formation (in the galaxy)
fplanets --
the fraction of stars with planets
nhab --
the number of those planets in the
habitable zone
flife --
the fraction of those planets on which life exists
fintel --
the fraction of those planets on which intelligent
life emerges
ftechn --
the fraction of those planets on which technological
civilizations arise
L -- the length of time such civilizations
emit electromagnetic signals into space
There are many (slightly) different forms
of this equation. This version
is close to the original equation Frank Drake
wrote in 1960. In any case, all the variations
have the same general theme.